Strategic Moves and Legal Gambits : Analyzing The Impact of Partisanship and Donald Trump’s Ongoing Legal Proceedings on the 2024 Election
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Authors
Flink, Jordan M.
Issue Date
2024-11-01
Type
Thesis
Language
en_US
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Abstract
The 2024 presidential election illustrates the increasing effects of polarization determining vote choice and the potential implications it may have on American democracy. With increasing polarization, a person’s partisan attachment becomes an increasingly more reliable heuristic determining their vote choice, which leaves a few voters that choose to identify as Independent up for grabs and thus the likely deciders of the election. Using recent Gallup Polling data, it can be seen that even Independents tend to lean in one direction politically allowing us to view, within game theoretic models, how their slight preference for one party could a) effect the outcome of the election, and b) could lead to changes in American democracy. Through carful game theoretical modeling, I find that due to polarization a voter will vote in accordance with their partisanship rather than their ideological preference. Furthermore, I found that if partisan behavior takes place and Donald Trump is elected there is the potential for an expansion of presidential power based on the Constitutionality of self-pardoning.
Description
iv, 40 p.
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License
U.S. copyright laws protect this material. Commercial use or distribution of this material is not permitted without prior written permission of the copyright holder.